Severe Storm Risk - Charlottesville, VA

• Severe Storm Risk

  Fri 12:30 PM - Sat 08:00 AM

  There is a Slight Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA SUMMARY A few tornadoes will be possible this afternoon across parts of North Carolina and Virginia. Synopsis The center of Helene is tracking quickly northward across the mountains over western NC/east TN, with a band of strong convection to the east of the low extending from southern VA into eastern NC. Local VAD profiles, surface observations, and model guidance indicate a continuing very favorable environment for transient rotating updrafts along this line and the risk of a few tornadoes. Guidance suggests that low-level wind shear will slowly weaken this afternoon throughout the northeastern quadrant of the system, with the line of convection lifting northeastward into a progressively less moist air mass. Little diurnal heating is expected ahead of the line, limiting destabilization. These trends would suggest the overall risk of tornadoes will also slowly weaken by evening.