Severe Storm Risk - East Providence, RI
Severe Storm Risk
-There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING IN A CORRIDOR FROM THE SOUTHEASTERN GREAT PLAINS THROUGH THE MIDWEST SUMMARY Potential for damaging wind gusts could still increase a bit with developing clusters of storms through mid to late evening across parts of the Midwest into the southeastern Great Plains, while also continuing with another cluster of storms spreading across northern portions of the Allegheny Plateau. 01Z Update Mid-level ridging centered near the south Atlantic Seaboard remains prominent, but is undergoing some suppression as at least a couple of short wave troughs migrate around its western through northern periphery. The most substantive of these waves is forecast to continue migrating northeast of the lower Missouri Valley through Wisconsin/Illinois by late tonight, accompanied by a modest downstream surface frontal wave. A vigorous jet streak associated with one or two lower amplitude downstream perturbations is forecast to propagate from the lee of the lower Great Lakes through southern New England. It appears that mid/upper troughing with embedded low-amplitude perturbations will linger across parts of the southern Great Plains. Peak afternoon destabilization along the dryline, from near its frontal intersection (roughly near/north of the Greater Kansas City area) southwestward into the Texas South Plains, is already waning. However, it appears that at least a narrow corridor of moderate residual boundary-layer instability in the warm sector to its east could may maintain vigorous convection and support continuing upscale convective growth into mid/late evening across parts of southeastern Oklahoma, western/northern Arkansas, central/eastern Missouri and central/northern Illinois. As this occurs, largely coincident with a northeastward propagating 30-40 kt southwesterly 850 mb jet, this may be accompanied by developing areas of increasing potential for damaging wind gusts and perhaps a few brief tornadoes, before convection weakens overnight.