Severe Storm Risk - Green Sulphur Springs, WV

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS PARTS OF THE UPPER OHIO VALLEY INTO THE CENTRAL APPALACHIANS SUMMARY Strong to locally severe thunderstorms are possible across parts of the Upper Ohio Valley and central Appalachians, mainly late this afternoon into the evening. Upper Ohio Valley into the Central Appalachians Midday water-vapor imagery indicates a mid-level shortwave trough over Lower Michigan as a belt of strong west-northwesterly flow is maintained across the north-central U.S. eastward to the Mid-Atlantic and New England coastal vicinity. This disturbance is forecast to quickly move to the Delmarva/NJ by midnight. The northern extent of a moisture plume, and an airmass still undergoing modification over the Gulf Basin, will protrude northeast into the upper OH Valley by late afternoon. Forecast guidance shows surface dewpoints perhaps reaching near 50 deg F near the OH-WV-PA border region towards 00z. Cold 500-mb temperatures and diurnal heating will act to partially compensate for modest moisture and contribute to weak buoyancy. Isolated to widely scattered low-topped thunderstorms will probably develop along a southeastward-moving cold front during the evening. Elongated hodographs support updraft organization but the overall limited moisture will act to constrain otherwise greater storm coverage. Marginally severe hail and perhaps a couple of damaging gusts are the primary hazards with the stronger storms.