Severe Storm Risk - Somerset Park, NJ

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST STATES SUMMARY Isolated damaging winds may accompany convection across the Mid-Atlantic/Northeast today. North Carolina and Mid-Atlantic/Northeast States A prominent upper-level trough centered over the Great Lakes/Ohio Valley will continue to take on a negative tilt as it quickly transitions east-northeastward toward New England the Canadian Maritimes tonight. A very strong deep-layer wind field (80-110 kt at 500 mb) is attendant to this trough, with these strong winds aloft partially overlapping a modestly moist/minimally unstable warm sector along the I-95 corridor/East Coast ahead of an eastward-advancing cold front. A strongly forced semi-organized low-topped convective line, with little or no lightning flashes, is ongoing around sunrise across northeast North Carolina and southeast Virginia, and this may further develop north-northeastward across additional portions of the Mid-Atlantic region this morning. Even with minimal buoyancy, some stronger/locally severe wind gusts could occur this morning, and possibly through early afternoon across parts of the near-coastal Northeast.