Weather Alerts For Mooretown, CAN

There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS AN ENHANCED RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE CENTRAL/SOUTHERN PLAINS AND LOWER MISSOURI VALLEY SUMMARY Scattered severe thunderstorms are expected from mid-afternoon through tonight across parts of the southern/central Plains to the Ozarks and Midwest. The greatest potential for a few strong tornadoes and very large hail should exist across eastern portions of Oklahoma/Kansas/Nebraska into western Arkansas/Missouri and southern Iowa. 20z Update No categorical changes were made to the D1 Convective Outlook. A corridor of more favorable tornado potential is possible this evening near the interface of the surface low and warm front across far southeastern Nebraska/northeast Kansas/northwest Missouri. Here, within the warm sector cells may develop ahead of the cold front within an region of enhanced low-level shear (given the placement of the warm front and forecast increase in south-southwesterly low-level jet). There are some complicating factors, such as ongoing cloud cover and convection in the warm air advection regime this morning. Some sheltered heating is ongoing with breaks in the cloud cover, with MLCAPE around 1000 J/kg nosing in from the west. The 18z soundings from Lamont, OK and Topeka, KS show this trend in instability as well as enlarged/curved hodographs and strong 50 kt flow aloft. Forecast soundings depict further enlargement of low-level hodographs this evening, amid steep lapse rates and dew points in the low to mid 60s, and STP values around 2. Given the favorable parameter space, tornado probabilities were increased with this outlook. Otherwise, the Enhanced remains unchanged. See previous discussion below for more information.