Weather Alerts For Vergennes, VT
Severe Storm Risk
-There is a Marginal Severe Storm Risk for your location. Continue reading for today's outlook from the National Weather Service's Storm Prediction Center. -------------------- National Severe Storm Outlook THERE IS A MARGINAL RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS EVENING ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NEW YORK INTO WESTERN NEW ENGLAND...PARTS OF THE OZARK PLATEAU INTO MID SOUTH...AND THE PECOS VALLEY/RIO GRANDE VALLEY VICINITY SUMMARY Widely scattered areas of scattered strong to severe thunderstorm development are expected to generally wane through mid to late evening. Parts of Upstate New York into western New England Forcing for ascent accompanying a weak frontal wave is maintaining an area of scattered stronger storms now overspreading areas to the northwest of Albany NY, in the presence of strong deep-layer shear. Instability sampled in the evening sounding from Albany is rather weak, but profiles might still be supportive of at least some risk for localized severe wind and hail into mid/late evening as forcing overspreads parts of southern Vermont, New Hampshire and adjacent Maine. Ozark Plateau into Mid South The primary east-southeastward propagating organized storm cluster appears to be in the process of weakening, as southeasterly near surface updraft inflow across middle Tennessee becomes less unstable. However, renewed thunderstorm development persists along and to the cool side of the trailing convective outflow across the Missouri Bootheel vicinity, with additional attempts along a diffuse zone of differential surface heating extending westward across northern Arkansas. This is occurring beneath warming and more strongly capping lower/mid-tropospheric air, but given inflow of potentially sizable CAPE, in the presence of moderate westerly shear, there remains at least some risk for supercell development capable of producing large hail this evening. West Texas Potential for sustained severe thunderstorm development appears low along the retreating dryline across parts of northwest Texas into the South Plains overnight.